Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 2732.758691 2955.766874 3181.726476 3427.507662 3686.997189 3952.503961 4244.385237
2025-01-12 2359.846274 2690.830303 3038.852246 3430.863504 3858.915419 4310.940483 4823.154910
2025-01-19 2048.120209 2433.580327 2850.616187 3332.891917 3872.746448 4455.987443 5131.241625
2025-01-26 1936.539431 2376.884784 2864.027708 3438.862898 4094.496504 4814.932755 5662.270439
2025-02-02 1826.831970 2308.869829 2852.871156 3506.337428 4263.918587 5108.617168 6115.524238
2025-02-09 1695.749327 2204.628306 2789.986325 3505.070175 4346.820860 5298.111672 6446.092184
2025-02-16 1568.639945 2095.747300 2713.257484 3479.730244 4394.931602 5442.233071 6720.407575
2025-02-23 1489.590297 2039.228402 2693.664524 3517.404320 4513.245887 5665.150121 7084.595082
2025-03-02 1398.067945 1961.414920 2643.132511 3513.148685 4577.772236 5822.169447 7369.902591
2025-03-09 1341.826438 1924.275441 2639.347017 3563.106293 4705.535366 6053.023727 7742.441853
2025-03-16 1254.056358 1841.845378 2574.810464 3534.105044 4733.901238 6162.624791 7968.968304
2025-03-23 1218.214568 1824.796726 2590.933310 3604.322123 4883.326907 6418.064539 8371.443112
2025-03-30 1161.082272 1777.841333 2567.958343 3625.310056 4973.079752 6603.800025 8694.349276
2025-04-06 1100.418289 1723.251308 2532.742168 3628.811161 5039.836275 6761.219168 8983.763251
2025-04-13 1002.354678 1612.489190 2419.194415 3526.690853 4969.005012 6745.449526 9057.983959
2025-04-20 992.838882 1624.407281 2468.444506 3637.147893 5170.024571 7069.061074 9553.542274
2025-04-27 969.195532 1614.881097 2487.757783 3707.459575 5319.310094 7328.507645 9970.913139
2025-05-04 921.349848 1568.256046 2454.562401 3706.139172 5374.463270 7468.717932 10239.437810
2025-05-11 867.906702 1510.896554 2404.280659 3679.735374 5395.117013 7564.027499 10451.030061
2025-05-18 839.746085 1489.582491 2403.052686 3718.990408 5501.778552 7769.186802 10802.218565
2025-05-25 799.091302 1447.554400 2370.977360 3714.556416 5549.424875 7898.076695 11056.682498
2025-06-01 778.456451 1435.063180 2380.171267 3766.604169 5672.434936 8124.680866 11436.983525
2025-06-08 734.004461 1383.633115 2331.505827 3736.390514 5683.469740 8205.119194 11629.595221